My entire model is based on statistics. My brand has a bell curve in the background because I look at the live statistics the teams have produced during that season and produce an expected outcome. My model actually produces a score for each team. This is only step one of the process. The second step and third steps are to look at past statistical data and look at the matchups. Review my numbers with current algorithms. However, I caution that I don't start betting until Week 4 of each football season and about the 5th game during college basketball season. I only bet between 3-5% of my bankroll on any given game. Good Luck and Good Gambling!! If you hit big, please give back to Wounded Warriors or St. Judes or a charity of your choice if you can. Don't get me wrong... I wouldn't mind going on a vacation but these causes seem more worthwhile. The results of NFL and NCAAF are up to date with the current algorithms. NCAAB will be ready first week of November 1. Check the performance tab within each sport. YouTube Channel MacktheTeachSportsAnalysis. SBR Forum ID usma1992.
Statistically this model is the most difficult. Why? There are only 32 teams, and they only play 17 games apiece. This means a year’s sample size is only 544 games. In addition, the NFL has a tremendous amount of parity. As they say, Any Given Sunday!!! However, I have back tested my current algorithms and they have produced over 60% the last several seasons. Good Luck!! Don’t bet until Week 4.
NO BETTING UNTIL WEEK 4
This is my second favorite model. With over 120 teams, each year produces over 1000 games to analyze. The difficulty with college football is the lack of parity. It is almost the opposite of the NFL. I have a unique method to account for strength of schedule. My algorithms are back tested and are producing over 60%. Don’t bet until Week 4 and watch out for a Constanza week, normally Week 6 or Week 7.
NO BETTTING UNTIL WEEK 4
National Basketball Association
This model is tight. Last season I was predicting scores within a couple of points. I started posting my thread Jan 1, 2024, on Sports Book Review, by March 1st I had 33K views. I analyze every game, every night and put out picks. If you are going to pay for any of my programs, this is the most valuable. It analyzes at least 400 games a week and it is winning. It kicks off Thanksgiving!!
NO BETTING UNTIL THANKSGIVING
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